Patrick Widmaier
Dusseldorf
In our previous article, we outlined the turbulent environment ahead for the Industrial Goods sector in 2024, buffeted by a swathe of volatile macroeconomic factors that will require companies to rapidly adjust to and strive for a more proactive, front-foot positioning when facing into these headwinds.
Our recent Industrial Goods study has highlighted six critical areas where companies are likely to be experiencing challenges, all of which can contribute to increased competitiveness and profitability if improvements are made.
Here we outline the key fields of action for sector players – where the pain-points lie within each, and how the implementation and application of new strategies could prove transformative for future business performance.
Cost pressures, with observable differences between industrial segments, are generating the necessity to build up the power to enforce price increases.
Prior the inflationary spikes of the past two years, pricing largely focused on margin enhancement and optimizing sales prices for customer categories or individual customers. Rises were infrequent, usually only when triggered (e.g. by review of pricing discrepancies across a portfolio), and there was limited willingness to cooperate by customers as they were viewed as pure profitability enhancements for suppliers.
Now, however, pricing is a key tool in mitigating cost pressures and – in some cases – protecting the going-concern of an overall business. Interaction with and suppliers or customers on this topic should be frequent, and adjustments must be flexible enough to respond to accelerating or decelerating cost developments.
Furthermore, it also has now become a vital tool for optionality – for example, in steering decision-making regarding global vs. local sourcing through these differing lenses:
After a long period of stability in energy prices, the conflict in Ukraine signalled the beginning of sharp energy cost increases and a volatile environment regarding global security of supply. This has been a persistent threat to the operational capability and competitiveness of Industrial Goods companies, placing geopolitics at the top of their agenda, alongside the pursuit of more energy efficient, ESG-friendly strategies.
While energy intensity varies across the Industrial Goods value chain, at a macro level consumption and emissions levels plus pricing dynamics represent the two key challenges to overcome. Potential operational counter-measures for the former include:
We are seeing the decoupling of global industrial supply chains, driven by macro disruptions such as the pandemic and Brexit, the emergence of automation and digitalization, geopolitical tensions and trade wars, and ESG regulations.
The relocation of supply chains is a strategic task, and different risk mitigation activities may be considered, depending on the degree of globalization of both supply chains and sales markets:
A consequence of making supply chains more resilient is the cost of an increasing cash conversion cycle (CCC) – primarily driven by machinery and components segments. For example, the Industrial Components CCC has grown with a 3% CAGR from 2020-22, while the Industrial Machinery segment has seen an increase of working capital, and the CCC has increased by 3.9% in the same period, almost only driven by inventory to ensure resilience.
To increase the financial stability, an effective capital deployment strategy plays a pivotal role. High capital costs demand that companies find the right balance between driving for efficiency and resilient safety buffers to deal with unforeseeable threats, as well as focusing on core elements to use capital effectively.
To better control capital employed, companies must pay close attention to investment allocation prioritization, optimizing supply chain networks – and measuring related performance, and optimizing working capital. A demand-calibrated approach for production, rather than a capacity utilization approach, will also help further reduce capital employed and improve financial stability.
Pressure from customers, financial institutions, and competitors is accelerating the importance of the three ESG pillars. ESG risk events are now a huge threat to company value.
While there is evidence to suggest that companies are still lagging behind in preparation for the future ESG demands of customers, regulators, and investors, many Industrial Goods companies have lighthouse projects that provide an encouraging glimpse of what the future can hold.
Amidst the challenges of increasing CO2 pricing, tightening EU climate policy and the push for neutrality, and growing demand for energy efficient production solutions, a tightly defined, realistic, and actionable sustainability strategy can set the path for positive progress.
It can directly address the regulatory pressure with regard to reporting and compliance, and provide clear articulation of ESG performance and credentials in light of increasing requirements for this as part of overall financing criteria.
Culturally, a strong sustainability strategy can positively impact the attraction and retention of talent within the Industrial Goods sector, particular given the issues highlighted below, and act as a long-term value creation and competitiveness tool – focusing on cost reduction, ROI, and brand reputation.
Successfully executing on all of the factors above is only possible with the highest quality human capital at a company’s disposal. However, the Industrial Goods sector is highly impacted by a shortage of (skilled) labor, as it relies heavily on several job families showing high shortages.
Therefore, a critical success factor lies in the upskilling of existing employees and transitioning staff to future growth roles, avoiding costly recruiting efforts and ramp-up periods.
However, this will unlikely be applicable to all job profiles, particularly in newer role territories. A balanced set of strategies should therefore be deployed, including greater levels of automation for repeatable tasks, outsourcing/contracting where new skills can be quickly accessible (ideally at the right cost), and other workforce adjustments to reshape a business for the identified future state.
On that latter point, AI will, of course, play a huge role. From automation augmentation to product design to knowledge capture and transfer, AI will no doubt play a key role in mitigating staff shortages along the end-to-end value chain. It also provides another high-profile example of the levels of global disruption that Industrial Goods companies must harnesses in order to remain competitive during the challenging economic period on the immediate horizon, and beyond.
Please contact us to discuss in more detail any of the themes explored in this article and the broader findings from our Industrial Goods study.