David Wireman
Detroit
Ensuring the airworthiness of aircraft is becoming an increasingly difficult challenge. As the global commercial maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) sector grapples with a potential inability to keep pace with the industry’s growth and requirements, a skilled-labor shortage—both in volume and talent level—is an immediate risk to address.
We are seeing heightened expectations for air traffic and aircraft deliveries, generating an estimated 4% annual growth in demand for maintenance mechanics, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. While skilled labor is scarce across several industries, this is especially the case for aerospace, where expertise and experience are table stakes for success. This work requires a high level of competence, extreme attention to detail, and the utmost regard for safety.
Skillwork, a staffing agency for trade workers, estimates the overall ratio of baby boomers retiring versus younger workers entering the trades is 5:2, a difficult blow when the available workforce in the U.S. is already constricted. While there is reason to be optimistic about millennial and Gen Z interest levels in skilled trades, there much work left to do. The Government Accountability Office reports a mere 2% annual increase in new technician certifications, hardly enough to fill the MRO’s gap.
This shortage is forcing the MRO sector to alter how it views traditional career trajectories. Major airlines, for example, are now recruiting mechanics directly from schools, sidestepping the conventional path through MRO repair shops. This can fulfill a short-term need, but raises questions about the credentials of tomorrow’s MRO talent pool.
Commercial MRO Market is projected to grow at ~4% CAGR through 2023. Labor demand growth is projected to outpace supply by 0.5%. Sources: BLS, GAO, AlixPartners analysis
As new recruits lack the proficiency of a 30-year veteran, the industry is facing an equally troubling talent drain alongside its people shortage. To fix this problem, MRO companies need to focus on talent development and identify a variety of operational and strategic levers they can pull. The avenues MRO companies should explore to enhance capabilities include:
New strategies and technologies are only as effective as the talent base that supports them. Aerospace is under increased quality scrutiny, so reducing mistakes—particularly in the high-profile role MRO providers play—is a non-negotiable priority. MRO has been the root cause of recent commercial aerospace events that, while not fatal, provide a glimpse into a precarious future if the industry remains without a proper labor pool to perform critical maintenance services.
Now is the time for the MRO industry to conduct a comprehensive review and analysis to pinpoint areas of risk and opportunity amid tight labor conditions and an evolving skills shortage. By investing in talent development, optimizing operations, judiciously implementing technology, and adopting a predictive and proactive approach to staffing, the MRO sector can successfully navigate the complexities of the current labor landscape.
For a deeper discussion about the challenges and solutions associated with this topic, contact:
Stefan Ohl
Global Co-Lead, Aerospace, Defense, and Airlines
[email protected]
David Wireman
Global Co-Lead, Aerospace, Defense, and Airlines
[email protected]
Contact the authors:
Brian Jones
Director
[email protected]
Andrew Chen
Vice President
[email protected]
Josh Lieberman
Vice President
[email protected]